Applying the Case Prep Protocol
Step 1 — Who and What
Decision maker: Jagdish Krishnan, Chief Digital and Operations Officer. Core challenge: Harley has built genuinely strong "digital defense" at one plant (York, ~80% modernized) while Milwaukee and Tomahawk lag, and it's facing the sharpest external and stakeholder pressure of Krishnan's tenure (tariffs, declining sales, a dealer-led governance revolt) at precisely the moment it needs to decide where to place its next, more limited round of digital investment.
Step 2 — Candidate Issues Grounded in Case Facts
- Uneven architectural maturity across plants. York is ~80% modernized; Milwaukee and Tomahawk still run largely on legacy systems, meaning company-wide digital capability is inconsistent even though it's proven where it exists.
- A dealer-network trust crisis. 170 dealerships plus an activist shareholder publicly opposed Harley's centralized digital direction in May 2025, arguing e-commerce (especially discounted, free-shipping online sales) undercut their margins — a conflict serious enough to contribute to CEO Zeitz's June 2025 departure.
- Capital diverted to an unproven bet. LiveWire's carve-out let Harley pilot direct-to-consumer and residual-value financing safely outside the core dealer model, but every dollar invested there was, in Krishnan's own words, a dollar not invested in factories the core business needed.
- Severe external headwinds compressing the investment window. $400M in supply-chain cost inflation since 2020, a second straight year of revenue decline, a 30% forced production cut, and new EU tariffs all shrink the capital and patience available for further digital investment.
- The most ambitious architecture play (digital twins) isn't ready. Krishnan's own assessment — "a long way off," unproven "in any environment as complex as ours" — means the most transformative available architecture bet isn't a responsible near-term allocation choice.
Step 3 — A Position
Underlying problem, one sentence: Harley proved its "digital defense" playbook works at York but hasn't yet extended it company-wide, and it now faces a capital and trust environment (tariffs, declining sales, a dealer revolt) too constrained to fund ambitious new "digital offense" bets before that foundational work is finished — so Krishnan's real choice isn't which new capability to build next, it's whether to finish the foundation or keep building on top of an uneven one.
Counterargument to weigh: One could argue the dealer trust crisis is the more urgent fire regardless of architecture maturity — a governance and stakeholder-relations fix (clarifying H-D1/BOPIS economics, formally renegotiating the digital-commerce revenue split with dealers) addresses a problem that already cost Harley its CEO, while further architecture work addresses a problem that hasn't yet visibly cost the company anything beyond internal friction. The strongest response has to weigh whether trust, once broken with 170 dealerships, is repairable through governance alone or whether it requires the underlying architecture (and the transparency it enables) to be finished first.
Second counterargument — maybe the answer is neither offense nor defense: with revenue down for a second straight year, dealer inventory still elevated, and fresh EU tariffs compressing margin further, one could argue Krishnan's real constraint isn't sequencing digital work at all — it's that Harley may not be able to afford either ambitious offense or full defense modernization right now, and the responsible near-term move is capital preservation (finish only what's already funded, e.g. Milwaukee/Tomahawk parity with York) rather than a new push in any direction. The strongest response has to weigh whether "pause everything" is actually available to Krishnan as CDOO, or whether the case's own framing — Starrs asking him to "set the pace for the next phase" — makes doing nothing new itself a decision with a cost.
Step 4 — 30-Second Cold-Call Answer
Krishnan's dashboard didn't create Harley's problems — it just made them impossible to ignore at the same time: $400 million in supply-chain inflation since 2020, a second straight year of revenue decline to $5.2 billion, and now 50% EU tariffs on heavyweight bikes. But the real architecture story is uneven progress — York is nearly 80% modernized and can trace a defect back to the exact operator and station, while Milwaukee and Tomahawk still run on the same brittle legacy systems Krishnan inherited in 2020. Building more "offense" — H-D1 expansion, digital twins Krishnan himself admits are "a long way off" — on top of that uneven foundation is exactly the mistake Davenport and Mittal warn against: DBS and Capital One both spent years on defense before their AI payoff compounded. So the real decision isn't which new capability to chase next, it's whether Krishnan finishes what York already proved works before a dealer network that's already lost one CEO loses patience with a second round of unproven bets.